A | 米連邦最高裁が「関税暴走」にブレーキをかけたが不確実性はかえって大きくなった。 Europhile Conservative MPs have poor prospects in the race already underway to replace Prime Minister Boris Johnson, according to a British academic.,With BoJo making a slow-motion exit from Downing Street, ministers and backbenchers alike are throwing their hats into the ring for the dual role of party leader and PM.,Johnson announced his resignation as Tory leader on Thursday — pre-empting mooted moves to cut the 'grace period' following an unsuccessful no-confidence vote, which he narrowly survived in June. The famous 'BoJo mojo' was finally overcome by the scandal over Deputy Chief Whip Chris Pincher drunkenly groping two men at an exclusive private member's club.,Each candidate to replace BoJo needs the nomination of at least eight fellow Tory MPs. Hot tips so far include Johnson loyalists Foreign Secretary Liz Truss and Defence Secretary Ben Wallace, along with Junior Trade Policy Minister Penny Mordaunt — who surprised some by not joining the wave of protest resignations from government — and Rishi Sunak, who led the revolt by quitting as chancellor.,Alistair Jones, associate professor of politics at Leicester's De Montfort University, told Sputnik that the leadership contest to replace the "figurehead" Johnson was still up in the air.,"The situation is going to be very interesting in British politics as we will look to see how many Conservative MPs want to stand to become the party leader and ultimately Prime Minister," he says.,“Now, within the Cabinet, we will see the likes of Liz Truss, [and Home Secretary] Priti Patel putting their names forward, also most likely [Deputy PM] Dominic Raab. Outside of the Cabinet, former minister Michael Gove will also probably put his name forward and then there'll be some other outsiders who are not in the government, such as Penny Mordaunt and Steve Baker.”,But strident remainer and anti-Russia war hawk Tom Tugendhat, chairman of the Commons Foreign Affairs Committee, was fastest out of the traps with five nominations under his belt already.,Professor Jones says that Mordaunt and Steve Baker, who is the deputy chairman of the anti-lockdown COVID Recovery Group and former chairman of the pro-Brexit European Research Group, are the ones to watch.,"Both of them are ardent Brexiteers and it is likely to be an ardent Brexiteer that is going to be elected as leader of the Conservative Party," he points out.,Steve Baker sets out why he would make a good Prime Minister, saying he is very popular with Conservative Home members and he's been told he's popular with the public.Piers challenges him that he might have to "acknowledge reality".@piersmorgan | #PiersMorganUncensored pic.twitter.com/e9qWS1Ae2k— Piers Morgan Uncensored (@PiersUncensored) July 7, 2022,The Eurosceptic underdogs may overtake heavyweights like Jeremy Hunt, the former foreign secretary who was runner-up to Johnson in the 2019 leadership contest to replace Theresa May.,"Jeremy Hunt, someone that people would like to see possibly elected as party leader as a safe pair of hands because he wasn't a Brexiteer, is not likely to go far," Jones says. "So the question will be how much infighting there is going to be within the Conservative Party until they get a leader elected, and then the extent to which that leader is able to unify the party.",BoJo’s Resignation: How Will Johnson’s Successor Be Picked?11:03 GMT,The academic stresses that leadership contests are always extremely polarizing. "You either support candidate number one or candidate number two when you get to the last two and quite often the two do not see eye to eye," he says.,"There could be an awful hangover for the Conservative Party after this leadership election," Jones warns. "The question will be the extent to which Boris Johnson's legacy is a divided party, and that stays with the party until the next general election" — which might not be until January 2025.。トランプ大統領がすぐに新たな関税カードを持ち出してだ。トランプ大統領は21日、自身の交流サイト（SNS）を通じ「世界的関税10％を許された最大値であり法的に検証された15％水準に引き上げる」と明らかにした。米最高裁は20日にトランプ大統領が国際緊急経済権限法（IEEPA）に基づいて各国に課した相互関税措置を違法だと判決した。最高裁が関税戦争にブレーキをかけたがトランプ大統領が方針を変える可能性は希薄だ。迂回路が十分だという判断からだ。実際にトランプ大統領は最高裁の判決後、全世界に「世界的関税10％」を課す大統領令に署名した。
B | 貿易法122条に基づいたもので、既存の相互関税を代替する性格だ。続けて関税率も法が定めた最大値である15％まで引き上げた。貿易法122条の適用期間は150日で、延長するには議会の承認を受けなければならない。トランプ大統領の立場ではひとまず150日という時間を稼いだ。彼はこの日「今後数カ月以内に新しく法的に許される関税を決め発表するだろう」とした。関税カードをいくらでも使えるという圧迫だ。具体的に貿易法301条、通商拡大法232条などが議論される。貿易法301条は外国の不公正貿易慣行を調査した後に報復関税を課す制度だ。米通商代表部（USTR）のグリア代表も最高裁判決直後に「多くの貿易国を対象に貿易法301条に対する調査を始めるだろう」と話した。◇「25％圧迫」消えたが…「品目関税時は韓国にさらに影響」 品目関税を強化する可能性もある。特定品目の輸入が国家安全保障を脅かすと判断される時に関税を課す通商拡大法232条を活用する案だ。韓国の主力輸出品の大部分が品目関税の射程圏にある。現代経済研究院のチュ・ウォン経済研究室長は「品目関税拡大局面へ進むならば相互関税より損失が拡大しかねない」と話す。一部では肯定的な解釈も出ている。最近韓国は対米投資遅延を理由に「関税を25％に再び引き上げる」という米国の圧力を受けていた。違法判決とともに一時的ではあるがこうした負担もまた消えた。韓国が米国に3500億ドル規模の投資をすることにしたが、相互関税自体が無効になっただけに投資合意も無効という解釈が可能だ。
C | ただ韓国政府は対米投資をひとまず予定通りにすることに方向を定めた。造船業や原子力潜水艦など両国の戦略的合意とかみ合っているためだ。この日青瓦台（チョンワデ、韓国大統領府）と政府与党は通商懸案点検会議を開き、「与野党が合意した通り来月9日に対米投資特別法が処理されるよう最善を尽くす」と意見を集約した。
D | 国会対米投資特別委員会も24日に立法公聴会を開催するなど特別法制定手続きを進めることにした。
E | ある元通商官僚は「米国内部の問題から始まっただけに韓国が急いだり先制的に動く必要はない。別の考えをすれば中間選挙までトランプ政権の圧力がさらに激しくなりえるだけに慎重で戦略的にアプローチしなければならない」とした。
Current article:http://gorr.shuacanrandenmizhuohaoeiliang.buzz/9l8be2u/di43tvq.html
Published on:11:07:35
